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Golf Odds and Betting Predictions: Dubai World Championship
by Alan Matthews - 12/5/2011
Hopefully I made you a bit of money this season on the golf circuit – I nailed a few winners for 2011. However, golf betting always is a challenge.
I will return for 2012, starting with the PGA Tour’s season-opening Hyundai Tournament of Champions on Jan. 5, but this week’s Dubai World Championship on the European Tour is the final preview of the year and the season-ender on that Tour.
All of the American pros will be competing in the two-man team Franklin Templeton Shootout this week in Naples, Fla., but that’s a glorified exhibition. Meanwhile, there is a dramatic race playing out in Europe for the Race to Dubai – which is the European Tour money title.Get up to $1000 in sign-up bonus!
Of course, England’s Luke Donald, the world’s No. 1 player, already won the PGA Tour money title in dramatic fashion at Disney last month. No player has won that crown on both Tours in the same season.
"It would mean history. No-one's ever done it, officially, and it would be a lot of satisfaction - for all the hard work," Donald said. "It's been a great year and that would be the icing on the cake."
It seemed like a lock Donald would win the Euro title as well as he was comfortably ahead of U.S. Open champion Rory McIlroy on the money list. But then world No. 2 McIlroy rallied to win last week’s Hong Kong Open and is 789,788 euros (approximately $1.05 million U.S.) behind Donald.
The only way McIlroy can win the Race to Dubai is to win the Dubai World Championship and have Donald finish outside the Top 9. Even if McIlroy were to win and Donald finished tied ninth with one other player, the Donald would still win the by the Race to Dubai by five Euros.
Golf Odds: Dubai World Championship Favorites
It’s a very strong field as the Top 60 players on the Order of Merit gained entry into this championship. The winner of the Race to Dubai gets an additional $1.5 million.
There aren’t a lot of trends to go on here as it’s only the third year of this championship.
McIlroy opened as the 5/1 favorite to win the event. The Northern Irishman entered the final round in Hong Kong three shots off the pace but shot a final-round 5-under 65 to win by two. It was his second Euro Tour win of the year (the U.S. Open counts as one, as do all the majors and WGC events; Rory’s Shanghai Masters win this year doesn’t officially count), making him one of 11 multiple winners on that Tour.
McIlroy has 12 Top-10 finishes in 18 Euro Tour events, the most of any player. McIlroy has played the previous two Dubai World Championships, finishing fifth last year and third in 2009.
Donald meanwhile, has only finished outside the Top 9 three times on The European Tour this year. And he certainly showed he can perform in the clutch with that result at Disney. Donald played a mediocre tournament last week at the Nedbank Golf Challenge in South Africa, finishing seventh, 10 shots behind winner Lee Westwood.
Donald, 10/1 to win this week, has one Top-10 finish at this tournament, T9 last year.
Golf Odds: Dubai World Championship Pick
It’s difficult to pick McIlroy because it’s so hard to win back-to-back weeks, although Thomas Bjorn and Sergio Garcia have done it on the Euro Tour this year. And I don’t like Donald because he’s a bit rusty as last week was his first tournament after five weeks off.
My prediction to win this tournament is a guy who tasted victory last week: Westwood at 11/2 (I think he has a better chance to go back-to-back than McIlroy). The world No. 3 shot a course-record 62 on Saturday and won the Nedbank Challenge by two shots over Robert Karlsson. He became the sixth golfer to defend his title in that event.
Westwood also won the Dubai World Championship in 2009 on the way to the Race to Dubai title. Last year he was T3.
If you want some long-shot value, take Karlsson at 22/1. He won this tournament last year in his first stop here (Martin Kaymer won the Race to Dubai, however) and obviously played well last week. It would be a nice finish to the year for the Swede, who hasn’t won since this tournament in 2010.
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Golf Odds: Rory McIlroy is the favorite to win the 2015 Race to Dubai. The world’s top ranked golfer won the 2014 Race to Dubai and he begins the 2015 as the solid favorite to defend his title. Let’s look at the odds and see if there are any challengers to McIlroy.
Rory McIlroy 7-5
Henrik Stenson 5-1
Justin Rose 10-1
Sergio Garcia 18-1
Victor Dubuisson 18-1
Jamie Donaldson 31-1
Martin Kaymer 40-1
Graeme McDowell 40-1
Ian Poulter 40-1
Joost Luiten 40-1
Louis Oosthuizen 45-1
Thorbjorn Olesen 60-1
Shane Lowry 65-1
Brooks Koepka 65-1
Luke Donald 65-1
Lee Westwood 80-1
Charl Schwartzel 80-1
Alexander Levy 100-1
Nicolas Colsaerts 100-1
The 2015 Race to Dubai will be slightly different as the European Tour decided to switch to a points-based system. The new system will have every Euro earned being converted to a Race to Dubai point. The previous system used Euros during the regular season but then converted them into points for the Final Series. “We believe that changing to a points system will help simplify and indeed enhance the narrative structure of the Race to Dubai, and particularly the Final Series,” said European Tour COO Keith Waters.
The favorite to win the 2015 Race to Dubai is Rory McIlroy who has already won the title twice in the past. The world’s number one golfer has one big goal in mind for 2015 and it is not the Race to Dubai trophy.
“Green jacket,” McIlroy said, “That’s the only one left to complete the collection. I’ve got a chance to complete the career grand slam at 25, something I never thought would be possible. So I’m going to work really hard and make sure I’m ready to go for April.”
McIlroy had a super 2014 season as he won the Race to Dubai and he was chosen unanimously as the Race to Dubai European Tour Golfer of the Year. McIlroy won four times in 2014 including wins in two majors, the Open Championship and the PGA Championship. He became the first player to finish on top of both the PGA Tour and European Tour money lists in the same year twice.
If McIlroy plays well then there are no real challengers because when he is on his game there is no one better. But in case McIlroy stumbles or had another girlfriend problem that distracts him then taking one or two longshots might be interesting in Race to Dubai odds. Stenson doesn’t hold a lot of value at 5-1 but there is definitely some value on Rose as 10-1 and despite Garcia being a player who normally chokes in the clutch, he has played really well the past couple of years and at 18-1 has some value. And don’t forget about Dubuisson who is showing that he will be a player to watch in coming years.About Tom Wilkinson
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Six Professional Golfers Tap A Top-10 Finish Using A Fujikura Golf Shaft In The Race To Dubai – Including The Champion Fujikura Golf Shafts were played in a 3-metal and a 5-metal to win the ?DP World Championship as well as the entire Race to Dubai
Vista, Calif. – Nov 23, 2015 – Fujikura Golf, recognized for designing and producing the world’s best performance golf shafts, continues to succeed across the globe and this weekend’s victories at the DP World Championship and Race to Dubai exemplifies this.
“Fujikura Golf congratulates the winner of the DP World Championship for his outstanding play and for cinching the Race to Dubai. What a remarkable achievement! The company also wants to thank him for his ongoing usage of Fujikura Golf Shafts,” commented Fujikura Golf Marketing Manager Stephanie Hartgraves.
Fujikura Golf Shafts provide the best quality custom golf shafts used on tour – actually on all tours worldwide. In addition to the win at the DP World Championship and the Race to Dubai, Fujikura Golf Shafts were played this month to win the European BMW Masters, the PGA Tour Cimb Classic, the LPGA Tour Blue Bay and the Turkish Airlines Open.
November also provided another first for Fujikura Golf as the company was connected with the recently awarded Web.com “Player of the Year” title. This talented recipient and golf professional plays a Fujikura Golf Shaft in ALL of his woods. “We at Fujikura are honored to be associated with this title. This Web.com professional had one of the most remarkable Web.com Tour seasons to date. We look forward to watching him compete next year on the PGA Tour,” added Hartgraves.
In addition to these accolades, Fujikura Golf had two PGA Professionals play a Fujikura Driver Golf Shaft to close a Top-10 finish at the RSM Classic and four LPGA Tour Professionals played a Fujikura Golf Shaft to secure a Top-10 finish which also included a tie for second place. Fujikura driver and wood Golf Shaft usage increased by a staggering 19% in 2015 over 2014 on the LPGA Tour.
About enso® Technology:
enso® is an advanced, proprietary technology that measures actionable, pre-impact club data to facilitate the design of the most accurate and powerful golf shafts for all golfers. It was developed in 2009 with then partner Vicon Motion Capture Systems as a state-of-the-art high, speed 3D motion capture measurement system which measures the club (head, shaft, handle) at sub-millimeter accuracy prior to impact. Fujikura has gathered years of data over the past five years measuring different swings from all types of golfers and now is using this intelligence to deliver the head to ball ratios FASTER and more efficient than ever before. Fujikura is the only shaft company with this innovative technology.
About Fujikura Golf:
Fujikura is known for designing and producing the world’s best performance golf shafts which is credited to their engineering team, enso® technology and the professional tour support the company receives from the PGA, Web.com, LPGA and Champions Tour. These critical components have contributed greatly to Fujikura garnering the #1 Driver Shaft, #1 Wood Shaft, #1 Hybrid Shaft used on the professional tours.
The company is also distinguished as a primary supplier to many national golf club brands offering both proprietary and brand product shaft designs. Fujikura products also can be custom fit through its network of over 900 Charter Dealers worldwide. Custom fit shafts are used by 100% of Tour professionals but Amateur and everyday golfers can take advantage of this same opportunity to fit their unique swing profile. In fact, 99% of golfers fit with Fujikura Shafts instantly gain more yards.
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