When: 8:30 p.m. ET Sunday Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis TV: NBC
Those two quarterbacks are definitely worth paying attention to, but playoff seeding in the AFC is the priority in the matchup between the two teams at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts need the victory to own the tiebreaker over the Patriots because it’s unlikely they’ll pass the Denver Broncos, who beat Indianapolis in Week 1. New England currently has a one-game lead over the Colts for the No. 2 seed, which gets you a bye in the first weekend of the playoffs.
ESPN.com Patriots reporter Mike Reiss and ESPN.com Colts reporter Mike Wells preview the game.
Wells: Mike, you’ve covered Bill Belichick for a long time. You’ve watched as he’s gotten the upper hand on some of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. The Colts watched it with Peyton Manning early in his career and they’re watching it again with Luck (seven interceptions in two games vs. New England). What is it about Belichick’s style that makes it so tough on opposing young quarterbacks?
Reiss: Mike, I wouldn’t necessarily say Belichick always has the upper hand, as we could look at some games this year in which more inexperienced quarterbacks such as Oakland’s Derek Carr and the New York Jets’ Geno Smith had notable success. But one of the things I think Belichick’s defenses generally do well is take away the one or two things an offense wants to do, and make the opposition go to something else. In essence, his defenses take offenses out of their comfort zone. The other thing that stands out is the role turnovers play. The Patriots are traditionally one of the NFL’s leaders in turnover differential, and they currently rank tied for first at plus-12 (18 takeaways, 6 giveaways). As cornerback Darrelle Revis said earlier this year, the Patriots are at their best when playing physical and creating turnovers.NFL Nation: Week 11 Previews
Our NFL Nation reporters break down the Week 11 schedule:
What have you noticed from Luck that is different this season compared to the previous two?
Wells: It’s no secret that Luck is an underrated runner. You were there when Brady talked about it during his news conference with the media earlier this week. I think Luck’s biggest growth this season has been his ability to not be predictable. It would be easy for him to constantly look for T.Y. Hilton, his big-play receiver, or Reggie Wayne, his security blanket in the time of need, but Luck is not doing that. He’s avoiding zeroing in on one or two targets when he’s in the pocket. The playmakers around him have made it possible for him to be able to spread the ball around. He’s completed passes to at least seven players in all nine games this season. He’s completed passes to nine players three times. I think that will help Luck against Belichick, the master of disguising his defense, on Sunday.
Colts fans don’t like to hear this, but I believe there’s no quarterback in the NFL, Peyton Manning included, who does a better job of getting the most out of his receivers and tight ends than Brady. Brady puts up numbers and wins every year even when you have to Google to see who some of his targets are. Is it Brady or the offensive system in New England that makes it happen?
Reiss: If I had to pick one, it would be Brady because I don’t think you can just put another quarterback in this system and expect the same results. He’s special in so many ways. At the same time, the system is part of it, too. It’s a “game plan” approach that morphs into something new on a week-to-week basis based on the perceived weaknesses of the opposition. Combine the fact that you have a Hall of Famer running the offense who has been in the same system for his entire 15-year career and it’s a pretty powerful force. Brady’s accuracy and decision-making are as sharp as ever and he’s been extending plays more in recent weeks by using his feet to buy more time. It’s been impressive to watch.
What do the Patriots have to be concerned about most when it comes to the Colts’ defense?
Wells: That’s a tricky question, Mike. The Colts have 23 sacks this season against quarterbacks not named Peyton Manning or Ben Roethlisberger. Like any team in the league, the Colts are at their best when they’re able to get pressure on the quarterback. Roethlisberger picked them apart for 522 yards and six touchdowns last month. Brady will have similar success if Indianapolis defensive coordinator Greg Manusky isn’t able to put together a scheme that makes Brady uncomfortable in the pocket. Linebacker Robert Mathis supplied the majority of the pressure on the quarterback in the past. He’s out for the season with the torn Achilles, so Manusky has put together a package that allows a number of players to “eat,” as the Colts call their blitzes. You might see nickelback Darius Butler on one player. Mike Adams might come in from the safety position. The linebackers will also rush. The goal is to not be predictable with their blitz packages. It’s worked so far this season, as the Colts are tied for 10th in the league in sacks with 24.
Brandon Browner was in Seattle last season when Hilton (five catches, 140 yards and two TDs) went off against him and Richard Sherman in the Colts’ victory. How do the Patriots plan to slow down one of the NFL's most talented young receivers?
Reiss: The Patriots have been solid this year when it comes to protecting against the big play. Hilton, of course, is a big play waiting to happen. I’m anticipating the Patriots playing most of the game in their sub packages, which they’ve been in 67 percent of the time this season, and that ties in to how I’d envision they attempt to slow him down -- plenty of safety help over the top and physical play at the line of scrimmage. This is why safety Devin McCourty is a key player for the Patriots. A converted cornerback, he has very good range, is a solid tackler and plays a big part in limiting the big strike.
What should Patriots followers know about former New England Patriots players (kicker Adam Vinatieri, cornerback Darius Butler, safety Sergio Brown, injured guard Donald Thomas) and their roles and futures with the Colts, as well as the Boston College bookends on the offensive line, left tackle Anthony Castonzo and right tackle Gosder Cherilus?
Wells: Belichick hit it on the head about Vinatieri when he said he doesn’t see an end in sight for the ageless kicker. Vinatieri’s backing it up, as he’s currently on a streak of 26 consecutive made field goals. I know some people might not think much of nickelbacks, but Butler is very valuable to the Colts’ defense. He's so valuable that they keep him on the slot receiver even if starting cornerbacks Vontae Davis or Greg Toler go down with an injury. Butler missed two games earlier this season because of an ankle injury and there was a significant drop-off between him and Josh Gordy, the team’s fourth cornerback. Brown has proved over the past five games that he’s more than just a special-teams player. He stepped into the starting lineup after LaRon Landry was suspended four games for using performance-enhancing drugs. Many thought that would be a short-term situation until Landry returned. Landry is back, but Brown will be starting alongside veteran Mike Adams at safety on Sunday. Castonzo will continue to protect Luck’s blind side for the next 10 years. The interior part of the Colts’ line was supposed to be the weak link this season, but Cherilus has struggled, too. He’s been dealing with an assortment of injuries, including a groin injury that kept him out of practice some this week.Sponsored Headlines ABOUT COOKIES
Just when the whole Deflategate controversy was finally starting to quiet down, the Patriots will invade Indianapolis for Sunday Night Football and the controversy will likely be a central topic leading up to kickoff.
With Deflategate once again fresh in football fans’ minds, Bovada has created an OVER/UNDER prop for the amount of times Deflate, Deflated, Deflating, or Deflategate will be said during the live broadcast of the game (from kickoff until the final whistle, excluding halftime). OVER 2.5 is set at -250 while UNDER 2.5 is set at +170.
The Patriots enter the game with vengeance on their minds as the Deflategate controversy started in last years’ AFC title game vs the Colts when they were accused of tampering with footballs to gain a competitive edge. The Patriots demolished the Colts 45-7 but reports emerged several days later indicating that 11 of the 12 balls used in the first half of the game were underinflated. The Colts noticed something was different about the balls following a second quarter interception, thus starting the controversy that lasted the entire offseason.
See the complete Patriots-Colts Week 6 Preview here.How many times will "Deflate", "Deflated", "Deflating", or "Deflategate" be said during the live broadcast of the Pats/Colts game from kickoff to final whistle? (excluding half time)
Odds as of October 16 at BovadaUpcoming Events
NFL MVP Futures: Wentz Throwing His Name Into The Ring
Entering the season, expectations for Carson Wentz were high but not quite this high. The Philadelphia Eagles quarterback was expected to take a step.Betting with Bitcoin
Copyright © 2008-2017 OddsShark. All rights reserved.
by John Benson in News / January 18, 2015 7:32 AM PDT
Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots (-6.5, 52.5 o/u)
The New England Patriots (12-4, 7-1 home) narrowly avoided an opening-round home loss last weekend, coming from 14 points down twice to beat the Baltimore Ravens, 35-31. The Pats didn’t cover the seven-point spread; nonetheless, they are now one win away from returning to the Super Bowl.
“We’re very fortunate to be in this position to have a chance to play in [the AFC Championship Game],” New England quarterback Tom Brady said. “I think more so than anything, you’re just excited for the opportunity to be able to do it. It’s hard to do and our team found a way to get there this year so hopefully we can take advantage of the opportunity.”
The Patriots received big performances from tight end Rob Gronkowski (108 yards receiving and one touchdown) and, finally, wide receiver Danny Amendola (81 yards receiving and two touchdowns). The former Miami Dolphin, who was brought in to replace Wes Welker, has largely been a disappointment during his tenure in New England, putting up just 200 receiving yards in 16 games during the regular season.
The Patriots will likely need Amendola to stay hot this weekend when they the Indianapolis Colts (11-5, 5-3 away). Indy is playing its best football of the year in the playoffs, dominating the Bengals (26-10) in the Wild Card round and handing Denver its first home loss of the year (24-13) in the Divisional Playoffs. (Indy covered in both games.)
Though Colts QB Andrew Luck has never beaten New England (0-3), he is playing like a Super Bowl-caliber quarterback of late, throwing for 641 yards and three touchdowns on 66.7% passing in the playoffs. The surprisingly mobile 6’4″ QB has also added 39 rushing yards on just four attempts.
Naturally, Bill Belichick’s defense will be keying on Luck.
“If [Luck] extends the play, then he has the ability to create big plays,” said Belichick. “We’ve seen him do that multiple times throughout his career already. It’s another guy you have to defend in the running game, the passing game in terms of his ability to scramble and make first-down yardage on possession-type downs. And he makes good decisions, so all those things are a problem.”
Luck, who led the league with 40 passing TDs this year, said the Colts are gelling at the right time.
“I think we’re playing good team ball,” said Luck. “We’re feeding off each other. Offensively we’re making enough plays to put some points on the board.”
And he’s not concerned about the 42-20 loss the Pats handed the Colts in week 7 this year. “I’d like to think I am a better quarterback and would like to think we’re a better team. We are well equipped to handle the unknown, the unforeseen,” said the young pivot.
The Colts are 8-2 straight-up over their last ten games and seem to have saved their best for the playoffs. Indianapolis and the money line (+231) is the play.
New England Patriots
Thursday Sep 07, 2017
Lines Recorded On: 2017-09-07 15:25:04 EST
offers up a great matchup between two competitive divisions, the ACW and ACE. With the standing 1-0-0 and the New England Patriots looking to improve their 0-1 last five result, this 's grudge match will be make or break.
Over or under? I'll take Bovada's -u48 bet any day of the week. Their total is a little too generous. The Patriots will tally most of those points, making their 8 from BetOnline an easy cover. The money line might be riskier: see our odds page for the latest numbers.
's game starts @8:30pm EST on . By now you should have registered a new account or funded your old one. I suggest learning Bitcoin sportsbook deposits quickly, credit cards can be unreliable after Week 1. BetOnline, Bovada and 5Dimes all welcome Bitcoin deposits with little or NO fees. Credit cards deposits will cost you substantially more. Those fees will cut into your vs betting profits.
Best of Luck from Ron Halfback and the gang!
Free NFL Prediction: Patriots vs Colts
Week 6 NFL betting sees the New England Patriots taking on the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday October 18th at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions.
Week 6: Sunday Night Football
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium – Indianapolis, Indiana
ATS Betting Lines: New England Patriots -7.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Patriots -345, Colts +275
Lots of hype for this DeFlateGate rematch. Unfortunately it is not because many think this is going to be all that good of a game.
Kick off is set for 8:25 PM ET as the NFL looks to milk this storyline one last time. Let’s hope this is entertaining and more competitive than the last time.New England Patriots
It is usually a struggle for teams to get back to the Super Bowl after winning it but the Pats are looking to buck that trend (yes I know Seattle just did it). They are 4-0 and looking like the class of the AFC.
Tom Brady is definitely fired up, leading the top passing offense in the league and the second best scoring offense. As a result they have won every game by at least a touchdown.
TE Rob Gronkowski was featured early in the season but has not caught a TD pass in the last couple of games. Even though I am sure defenses haven’t forgot about him look for him to be a critical weapon for the Pats on Sunday, plus whatever running back they feel like.
The defense is posting mediocre numbers and has yet to come up against an elite offense. I am not sure that Indy qualifies but they could give them a tough time.
The Pats are one of the most public teams around but they also cover big numbers. They are 3-1 ATS this season.Indianapolis Colts
The Colts have recovered from a terrible start to win their last three games. Of course all of them were in their weak division so we are still no closer to knowing what we want to know about the Colts. At least they showed some grit in winning without Andrew Luck.
Luck is back and they need him to return the Colts offense to the level of productivity they showed last year. So far new additions Frank Gore and Andre Johnson have not been difference makers. Luck has to erase the memory of last year’s title game where he was terrible.
This might be too much to ask but they are probably doomed unless he can outplay Brady.
That is a tall order, especially because Brady has the advantage of playing against the Colts defense which is 28th against the pass.
There is nothing better than being the Patriots in a prime time game but I am hesitant to put my faith in the Colts. I would rather miss a win or two with this group than take another disappointing loss.NFL Betting Trends:
Sometimes it is hard not to get down on these prime time games. The last time they played they would have almost gone over this number even though the Colts were terrible.
NFL Free Score Prediction: New England 38 – Indianapolis 21
The key will be the start for the Colts. They need to get a couple of first half scores to get into the game.
We’ll be providing 4* free NFL predictions on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free NFL Football picks!
© Sports Betting 2018